Source · Method · Honest-axis

Method panel

For: Inflation, cooling from the 2022 peak

Source · Method · Honest-axis check

Source
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
Method
Year-over-year change in a broad consumer price index. Illustrative figures for demonstration; replace with BLS CPI-U for production.
Uncertainty
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Uncertainty band

A ±% range around the line, computed from how many observations the series has. Fewer data points → a wider band → treat the trend as lower-confidence. It is honesty about sample size, not a forecast.
With 6 observations, this chart shows a ±6% band. Treat it as moderate-confidence.
honest-axis.check
$ honest-axis check — Inflation rate
PASS baseline justified · data not clipped · single axis
confidence: moderate (n=6)
uncertainty band: ±6% from sample size